W
hat is known as the One Child
Policy was introduced in 1979
as a set of rules and regulations
governing the approved size of Chinese
families. This was not the first attempt
by China to curb the growth of its popu-
lation. The so called “late, long, few”
policy was introduced in the early 1970,
because the population had risen dra-
matically during the 1950s and 60s, from
540 million in 1950 to 850 million in
1970. The “late, long, few” policy was a
conventional family planning pro-
gramme, consisting of the encourage-
ment of later child bearing, longer spac-
ing, and fewer children. This policy led to
a fall in the total fertility rate (TFR) from
5.9 in 1970 to 2.7 in 1979.
1
But this fall
was not enough for Deng Xiao Ping who
at this time was setting out his economic
refor m programme. Projections showed
that the population would continue to
rise sharply, because around two thirds
of the population were under 30, and
because the baby boomers of the 1950s
and 60s were entering their reproductive
years. Deng saw population containment
as essential to the success of his eco-
nomic reform prog ramme.
2
So the One
Child Policy was introduced. Twenty
three years later the TFR is estimated to
be 1.8, and it has remained unchanged
for the past five years.
3
There is much confusion about the
policy, mainly because in this vast country
the way in which the policy is actually
implemented varies considerab ly from
place to place.
4
For example, families of
four and more are still tolerated (though
not officially allow ed) in some remote
rural areas, while a strict one child per
family policy is imposed in the cities.
There is a central policy making body, the
State Family Planning Committee, which
is a separate and pow erful government
department. This bureau sets targets and
provides guidelines on implementation,
but it is the family planning committees
at provincial level w ho make decisions
about actual implementation. The impos-
ing of penalties is usually left to local cad-
res. This explains the wide variation in
practice.
In Chinese cities only one child is
allowed with a few exceptions: firstly, in
the case of second marriage where one
partner has not had a child; secondly, if
the first child has an abnormality or a
condition which will reduce life expect-
ancy (there is a list of such conditions
and a doctor is required to provide the
necessary proof); thirdly, if the father is
in a dangerous occupation, such as min-
ing; and fourthly, where both spouses are
only children. This latter is important,
since the first cohort of only children are
now reaching their reproductive years
and more and more couples will fulfil
this requirement.
But the policy is more relaxed in the
countryside where around 70% of the
population live. Here, with the exception
of government workers, two children are
per mitted, if the first is a girl, and
provided there is a four year gap. This
clearly acknowledges the traditional
preference for boys, which is still the
case, particularly in rural areas. Third
children are allowed for some minority
ethnic groups.
“The whole programme is
underpinned by a massive health
education campaign”
Late marriage and spacing still play an
important role. Marriage is not permit-
ted until age 25 for men and 23 for
women in cities, ages 23 and 21 respec-
tively in rural areas. The whole pro-
gramme is underpinned by a massive
health education campaign: the mes-
sages tend to focus on the societal
dangers of overpopulation and the per-
sonal material benefits of having only
one child.
5
Modes of enforcement and penalties
vary widely. In m any rural areas flouting
of the regulations is not rare. It is
difficult for local cadres to enforce
unpopular regulations in their own small
communities. If a woman becomes preg-
nant outside the policy there is pressure
to have an abortion. Nowadays there is
considerable acceptance of this in the
cities, at least. If an “illegal” pregnancy is
car ried to term, there is a range of penal-
ties for failure to comply. If the parents
are government workers or employed by
state owned enterprises this will mean
loss of employment. But for the majority
the punishment includes fines, loss of
benefits for the first child, and higher
charges for obstetric care.
6
In extreme
cases women who become pregnant out-
side the policy may leave their home-
towns to deliver elsewhere, in a place
they are not known. The new mobility of
the r ural workforce has made such
evasion of the authorities much easier.
In the West there has been much criti-
cism of the Policy as a violation of the
human right to reproduce. Even the Chi-
nese Government would agree that
denying individuals the right to have as
many children as they want is not desir-
able. But the Policy is seen as a necessity
in the short term. In particular, in recent
years the Government sees that restric-
tion of family size is fundamental to its
ongoing poverty alleviation programme:
to break the vicious cycle of poverty
leading to more children, which in turn
generates more poverty.
7
Apart from curbing population growth,
the policy has had a number of beneficial
effects. Women hav e access to contracep-
tion and safe legal abortion. Mothers are
freed from the burden of many pregnan-
cies with the associated morbidity and
mortality. They also have more freedom to
work outside the home, acquire skills, and
contribute to the household income, with
resulting benefits in terms of independ-
ence and self esteem. Children benefit
from the increased resources devoted to
them.
89
Only daughters may particularly
benefit from not having to compete for
resources with sons.
“The policy has contributed to
gender imbalance in rural areas”
But there is of course a negative side.
The policy has contributed to gender
imbalance in rural areas, with an excess
of male births reported in some
areas.
10–12
The 1995 population survey
reported average male:female ratios of
108:100 in rural areas.
13
But this is not
just because of sex selective abortion
(which is now illegal,
14
though undoubt-
edly still occurs), but also because of
failure to report female births. Female
infanticide is probably extremely rare
now. When the Policy was introduced
there were concerns about support for
the elderly.
15
In urban areas around 70%
of the population have some form of
pension, but in rural areas care and sup-
port for the elderly remains the responsi-
bility of offspring. With small families
care for the elderly becomes a consider-
able burden.
Finally, there is the issue of the health
and psychological effects of being an
only child. This is the question asked by
Hesketh et al in this issue.
16
Much has
been made of the over indulged Little
Emperors of contemporary China,
17
but
there is little hard evidence that they are
any more spoilt than their contemporar-
ies in other part of East Asia or even the
West.
8918
Over the past generation dis-
posable incomes have increased for the
China
...................................................................................
The One Child Family Policy
W X Zhu
...................................................................................
The government hopes that there will be a shift towards the
“small family culture”
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463
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majority, and combined with greater
access to goods and commodities and
freedom to travel, this means that for
many children there are huge opportuni-
ties, irrespective of the family size. One
of the problems with any research in this
area is that it is likely to be confounded
by socioeconomic differences, given that
those couples who are allowed to have
more than one child are generally from
lower income and education groups. This
is why Hesketh et als analysis of only and
sibling children in one wealthy county is
particularly welcome. After controlling
for potential confounders they found
very small differences between sibling
families and one child families and con-
cluded that being an only child may
actually confer some benefits.
It was never intended that the Policy
would last forever.
19
The Chinese gov ern-
ment has achieved fairly widespread
acceptance for a strict family limitation
policy.
4
How ever, increasing wealth and
employment freedom mean that commu-
nal pressure and economic disincentives
will not be enough to contain the popula-
tion in the future. The government hopes
that there will be a shift towards the
“small family culture” underpinned by
improv ed living standards, guaranteed
survival of children, and security in old
age.
19
(It is interesting to note that the
small family culture is the norm in Hong
Kong where the policy is not in force and
the TFR is just 1.1.
3
) There is evidence that
there is growing acceptance of small
families in China,
20 21
so much so that in
30 pilot counties the policy has been
lifted, allowing couples to choose their
family size.
22
A possible scenario for the
future is allowing all couples to have two
children, with a five y ear gap in both
urban and rural areas.
19
This would be
more popular and would be perceived as
fairer. Research like that by Hesketh et al,
which suggests that the One Child Policy
may not do harm to children and adoles-
cents, should help to allay some of the
fears held by opponents of the policy.
Arch Dis Child
2003;88:463–464
.....................
Author’s affiliation
W X Zhu, Health Unlimited, East Asia
Correspondence to: Dr W X Zhu, Apt 2-401 Ya
shi Yuan, 39 NanZhong Guo Xin Chen, 149
Wen Hua Road, Hangzhou, Zh 210012,
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A chinese couple with one child in a yin-yang posture representing male-female balance.
Painting by Li Chang Yun, Health Education Department, Xiaoshan MCH Hospital.
464
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